As patents expire, generics and biosimilars can reshape drug pricing
2026 will see some significant drugs lose their patent protection. In particular, the drugs discussed here are considered to be blockbusters, which means they've generated annual sales of at least $1 billion in the U.S.1
Expiring drug patents might be bad news for their manufacturers, who stand to lose important revenue streams. But they’re very good news for plan sponsors and consumers. That’s because they open the door for generic and biosimilar medications, which deliver comparable quality at a significantly lower price.
Generic medications contain the same active ingredients, at the same strength and purity, as their brand-name counterparts. Biosimilars are lower-cost versions of biologic medications that are highly similar to, and with no clinically meaningful differences from, an existing U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA)-approved biologic drug.2
The key question for expiring drug patents is whether there are generic/biosimilar competitors ready to reach the market. Often, we'll see that competing drugs have been approved by the FDA but held back from the market. This could be the result of various legal settlements, or because the relevant patents are still in effect.
The number of generic/biosimilar competitors is also important. For example, at Optum Rx® we know the average list price of the first new generic drug is often 10–15% lower than the brand version. But prices will usually continue to fall as more generics enter the market.
In 2025, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) published a summary review of generic list price data covering studies conducted from 1995 through 2024. These studies found that prices declined by about 15–40% in markets with 3–5 competitors and by 60–90% in markets of 10 or more competitors.3
The market for biosimilars functions much differently than for generics, but the net result is similar. First, biosimilar medications cost less. A different HHS study from last year reports that biosimilar list prices are on average more than 50% less than the branded biologics.4 In addition, once a biosimilar enters a market, branded biologics respond by lowering their prices by about 25% on average.5 And more competition produces more savings, just like for the generics.
A third recent study found that each additional biosimilar competitor produces an additional 10–13% list price decrease compared to the original branded price.6
Here’s a summary of the medications we’ll discuss: