Why oncology costs are expected to rise
One of the biggest drivers of increasing cancer spend is innovation. Waves of new treatments are being discovered, approved and put into use with unprecedented frequency. As one Mayo Clinic oncologist put it, “Ten years ago it was 10 a year; today the pace is one a week.”4 But this flurry of medical advancements comes at a great financial cost.
Why are these treatments so expensive? Many are specific to particular forms or sites of cancer, or to certain populations who suffer from them. As payers well know, drugs that treat highly specific conditions tend to be costly. While targeted cancer therapies and immunotherapies help strengthen the efficacy of oncologic treatment, they have the potential to leave behind patients who simply cannot afford them.5 One estimate indicates that a full course of treatment with the latest oncology drugs could cost up to $250,000,6 dwarfing the U.S. median household income of $70,784.7
But new treatment advancements aren’t the only factor in the explosion of oncology spending. As the U.S. population continues to age, cancer rates are expected to increase. Since 2000, the national median age has jumped by more than 3 years.8 And as people age, their cancer risk climbs. In fact, increased age is the most important cancer risk factor. The chance of a cancer diagnosis climbs from 350 in 100,000 at age 45–49 to 1,000 in 100,000 after age 60.9 The bottom line? Americans are getting older — and as a result, their cancer prevalence will also increase.
Finally, the vast majority of cancer treatments are provided via the standard fee-for-service model, meaning there is little incentive to keep costs to a minimum. And since most cancer drugs are reimbursed on a buy-and-bill basis, with providers administering pre-purchased medications to patients on site, there's a strong incentive to use them. That’s a worrisome combination.